According to recent polls, Donald Trump holds a marginal lead over Joe Biden in the race for the 2024 presidential nomination. 

**Trump Advantage:**

* Trump leads Biden by 4 points nationally, according to a CBS News/YouGov survey.

* Fox News polls show Trump with a 2-point advantage over Biden in a hypothetical general election matchup.

**Policy Differences:**

* Voters recall Trump's presidency more favorably than Biden's on the economy.

* A majority of voters believe Trump would reduce the number of migrants crossing the southern border, an issue of concern for many.

* More voters think Trump has a vision for the country and fights for people like them.

**Biden Deficits:**

* Democrats are more critical of Biden's presidency compared to Republicans' views of Trump's.

* Biden's policies are expected to cause price increases, while Republicans anticipate lower prices under Trump.

**Other Factors:**

* More voters believe Trump has the physical and cognitive health to serve as president.

* Trump's voters are motivated by hope and support for his policies, while Biden's voters primarily express fear and opposition to Trump.

* Democrats are less likely to say they will definitely vote compared to Republicans.

**Third-Party Candidates:**

* Robert F. Kennedy Jr. has the potential to draw support from both major party candidates in a 5-way race.

* Nikki Haley fares better than Trump against Biden but trails in a 5-way race due to support for Kennedy.

**Voter Concerns:**

* Both Trump and Biden face negative views on honesty and trustworthiness.

* Voters prioritize the economy, immigration, and abortion as key issues.

* A majority views the situation at the southern border as a major problem or emergency.

**Overall:**

Despite Trump's narrow lead, both candidates have negative approval ratings and face challenges in motivating their base. The race remains competitive, with the outcome likely to hinge on issues such as the economy, immigration, and voters' perceptions of the candidates' abilities and character.